John W.
Harrison v
-3-
OLJber 31,
1977
The National Academy therefore recommended:
1.
The possibility of modification of the worldrs climate
by carbon dioxide release should be given serious prompt
consideration by concerned national and internat,ional
organizations and agencies. Two kinds of action are
needed:
a. organization of a comprehensive
b.
research program,
new
institutional
worLd-wide
and
arrangements.
2.
A world-wide comprehensive research program shouLd
include studies on the carbon cycle, cI-imate, future
populatj-on changes and energy demands, and ltays to
mitigate the effective clj.matic change on world-food
produci'ion.
3.
A11
the foregoing recommendations for research relate
to global concerns, and therefore the cooperation of
such international agencies as the World Meteorological
Organization, the Intergovernmental Oceanographic
Commission, and the International Council of Scientific
Unions should be sought in responding to them.
A hlgh degree of j-nternational government cooperation is called for because
of the need for a r+orld-wide set of measurements and network of observing
stations. As to the United States, consideration should be given to,the
establishment at the national 1evel of a mechanism to r'reave together the
interests and capabilities of the scienLific community and the various
agencies of the federal government in dealing with climate-related probleins.
Dr. Malone further indicated that he had recently met with
Dr. B. J. Mason of the British Meteorological- Service (apparently the worldrs
authority in this area) who was not convinced that CO, accumul-ation in the
atmosphere hras a very significant probl-ern. Dr. Iulason-did not question the
rule of thurnb that a doubling of the current level of carbon dioxide from
330 ppn to about 700 ppm would cause a change of about 2oC on the average
in the atmosphere. Dr. Mason did acknowl-edge that the CO, problem is the
most important man-made weather problern that we have to c6ntend with.
Dr. l,lalone al-so reported that Dr. Chatwick of Harwel-l, on the other hand,
considers the CO, a najor problem and was very receptive to the report from
the National Academy of Sciences.
The discussion then returned to the methodology for choosing
the director of a CO. program task force. Dave Slade visualized the
director?s role as sfrnilar to the role of the director of the sul-fate
program with EPRI and EPA which is currently funded at about $5 nillion
level. Another example of a scientist who is the focal point of a major
Program l.s Dr, J. D. Balcomb of the Los ALarnos Scientific Laboretory. Ile is
heading the area of passive solar cooling and heating r^'hich has a program
of about $15 rni11ion. Finally, the discussion turned to the recently
completed program that assessed the ozone problem relat.ive to the SST.