October 31,
-2-
John W. Harrison
7977
The I'Iiarni Beaeh Workshop was attended by about 70 experts in
climatology, ecology, forestry, agriculture, geochemistry, and oceanography.
Based on the discussions at this Workshop, the Weinberg study group
recommended that DOE research money be committed to three specifie projects
which must be started irnmediately:
of the amount of carbon stored,
and the rates of fixation and rel-ease from the major
forest types of the world.
1.
The determination
2.
The verification
in ocean rvater
3.
The measurement of carbon dioxide
and on the surface of oceans.
of the carbon dioxide buffer factor
in the
atmosphere
In addition, a srnall amount of research money should be given to acknowl-edged
experts in these areas to write t'research Program development paperstt. A
list of these research papers is appended to this memorandum.
Dave Slade reiterated that the key step in carrying out the
required work to assess the potential- environmental damage of CO" was to
select a key individual and organization as the foeal point for this work.
He plans to use an RFP route to select the indivldual. Dr. trIeinberg strongl-y
suggested that this individual be a high caliber scientist willing to devote
the next ten or more years to this type of work, and who wil-l- be protected in
This does not
an organization that has al-l- the required support facilities.
imply that all the research will be done by the organization that wins the
contract, but it does indicate that the key individual will- be the focal
point and administrator of the program. The committee emphasized a number
of times that this individual be prirnarily a scientist, and the program be
one of basic research rather than engineering or developnent-type research.
The consensus of the group was that an aerospace tyPe approach, i.e., PERT
charts, etc., rvould not be likely to achieve the desired results.
Dr. Malone then discussed the report recently completed by the
of Sciences on Energy and Climate. He distributed a 40-page
to all attendees. The National Acadeny of Sciences
of
the
report
sumrary
that:
report concludes
National- Academy
climatic effects of carbon dioxide release may be
primary
1-imiting factor on energy production from
the
fuels
fossil
over the next few centuries.
1.
The
2.
It
that the direct generation of
production
heat from the
and consumption of energy
over the next fevr centuries will cause a rise of more
than 0.5oC in global average air temperature.
3.
There are profound uncertainties regarding the carbon
cycle, climate, and their interdependence. These
uncertainties can be resolved only by a well-coordinated
effort of exrraordinarily interdisciplinary character.
does not now appear