1
on the global damage from pollution, e.g., from coal combustion, will give us the
needed focus for further research to avoid or control such pollutants.”63
2
3
91.
That same year, Exxon Research and Engineering reported that: “The most widely
4
held theory [about increasing CO2 concentration] is that the increase is due to fossil fuel
5
combustion, increasing CO2 concentration will cause a warming of the earth’s surface, and the
6
present trend of fossil fuel consumption will cause dramatic environmental effects before the year
7
2050.”64 According to the report, “ecological consequences of increased CO2” to 500 ppm (1.7
8
times 1850 levels) could mean that “marine life would be markedly changed;” and, by way of
9
example, that “maintaining runs of salmon and steelhead and other subarctic species in the
10
Columbia River system would become increasingly difficult.”65 With a doubling of the 1860 CO2
11
concentration, “ocean levels would rise four feet” and “the Arctic Ocean would be ice free for at
12
least six months each year, causing major shifts in weather patterns in the northern hemisphere.”66
13
92.
Further, the report stated that unless fossil fuel use was constrained, there would be
14
“noticeable temperature changes” associated with an increase in atmospheric CO2 from about 280
15
parts per million before the Industrial Revolution to 400 parts per million by the year 2010.67 Those
16
projections proved remarkably accurate—atmospheric CO2 concentrations surpassed 400 parts per
17
million in May 2013, for the first time in millions of years. 68 In 2015, the annual average CO2
18
concentration rose above 400 parts per million, and in 2016 the annual low surpassed 400 parts
19
per million, meaning atmospheric CO2 concentration remained above that threshold all year.69
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
SHER
EDLING LLP
Henry Shaw, Exxon Memo to H.N. Weinberg about “Research in Atmospheric Science”, Exxon Inter-Office
Correspondence
(Nov.
19,
1979),
https://insideclimatenews.org/sites/default/files/documents/Probable%
20Legislation%20Memo%20(1979).pdf.
64
W.L. Ferrall, Exxon Memo to R.L. Hirsch about “Controlling Atmospheric CO2”, Exxon Research and Engineering
Co. (Oct. 16, 1979), http://insideclimatenews.org/sites/default/files/documents/CO2%20and%20Fuel%20Use%
20Projections.pdf.
65
Id.
66
Id.
67
Id.
68
Nicola Jones, How the World Passed a Carbon Threshold and Why it Matters, YALE ENVIRONMENT 360 (Jan. 26,
2017), http://e360.yale.edu/features/how-the-world-passed-a-carbon-threshold-400ppm-and-why-it-matters.
69
Id.
63
COMPLAINT
42
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