Philippine Journal of Science 145 (3): 283-295, September 2016 ISSN 0031 - 7683 Date Received: ?? Feb 20?? Possible Effects of El Niño on Some Philippine Marine Fisheries Resources Amor M. Damatac II and Mudjekeewis D. Santos* National Fisheries Research and Development Institute, 101 Mother Ignacia Street, Quezon City, Metro Manila, Philipines 1 El Niño is the warm phase of extreme climatic phenomenon observed in the equatorial Pacific. Over the past decades, frequent El Niño events have been observed and pose great threat to biodiversity. Reporting mostly the effects from 1982-1983 and 1997-1998 events, El Niño affected factors involved in ocean- atmospheric interactions such as sea surface temperature, salinity, nutrient availability, precipitation rate, ocean currents, and tropical typhoons. The changes in these factors influenced marine organisms leading to an increased phytoplankton biomass and widespread coral bleaching, and possibly resulting to fish kills, occurrence of seaweed diseases and threats to marine mammals. It affected pelagic fishes leading to migration or change in catch production. The data in this paper raise concerns on the predicted impact of El Niño on food security. Considering our susceptibility, key researchable areas must be implemented to support management strategies that will mitigate the possible effects of El Niño in the country. Keywords: El Niño, fisheries, Pacific Ocean INTRODUCTION The Philippines has been assessed as one of the most vulnerable countries to the impacts of extreme weather brought by climate change (Harmeling, 2010; Santos et al., 2011). The direct effects of climate change occur through alteration in the behaviour, morphology, and physiology of individual organisms which cumulatively leads to ecosystem regime shifts (Food and Agriculture Organization 2000; Brierly & Kingsford 2009; Portner & Peck 2010; Doney et al. 2012). Climate change is projected to impact the marine sector and this scenario poses great pressure to the livelihood and food security among Filipinos especially those who live in coastal areas where fishing is the primary source of livelihood. *Corresponding author: mudjiesantos@yahoo.com Fisheries is one of the drivers of Philippine economy being an archipelagic country that has more water than land (Yap 1999). To emphasize its importance, as of 2013, the country ranked as the seventh largest producer of fish, 11th largest producer in terms of aquaculture, and third largest producer of seaweeds among the top producers in the world (Food and Agriculture Organization, 2013a, 2013b). Its contribution to the Philippine economy amounted to some P 190 Billion pesos and employed more than 1.6 million fishing operators nationwide (Bureau of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources, 2012). It supplies different commodity species such as tuna, small pelagics, tilapia, milkfish, shrimp/prawn, crabs, cephalopods, shellfishes, and seaweeds. The Philippines, which lies in the Indo-West Pacific, has been described as one of the world’s epicenters of marine biodiversity (Carpenter & Springer, 2005) indicating that the country is blessed with highly productive marine 283

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