12 - Integrating Climate into our Strategy
A CLOSER LOOK
The Challenges
of the 2°C Target
The world economy must be profoundly reshaped to keep
the average global temperature increase below 2°C by 2100
compared to pre-industrial levels. Energy, which represents
nearly 70% of global greenhouse gas emissions, is a key factor
in the balancing act required.
The Facts
- Global greenhouse gas emissions amounted to 49 Gt CO2-eq in 2010.
- If current trends were to continue, cumulative global emissions would reach
around 75 Gt CO2-eq in 2035.
-T
he IEA’s 2°C scenario1 aims to limit emissions to approximately 35 Gt CO2-eq
in 2035.
This reduction in emissions entails sharply decreasing the carbon content
(or “carbon intensity”) of GDP. In its 2°C scenario, the IEA estimates that
a decline of 3 to 4% a year would be required between now and 2035.
31%
COAL
7%
INDUSTRY
11%
AGRICULTURE
OIL AND GAS ACCOUNT
FOR 37% OF GREENHOUSE
GAS EMISSIONS RELATED
TO HUMAN ACTIVITY
49 (±10%)
Gt CO2-eq
2010
14%
OTHER
23%
OIL
14%
GAS
Source: IEA, CO2 Emissions from Fuel Combustion, 2014 Edition.
1
or the purposes of this report, “2°C scenario” refers to the pathways outlined
F
in the 450 and 2°C scenarios published by the IEA in World Energy Outlook
and Energy Technology Perspectives, respectively.
These scenarios aim to limit the average global temperature rise above pre-industrial
levels to 2°C by 2100.
- Roughly 85% of emissions related to
oil and gas are generated during
product end-use; the remaining 15%,
during production and refining.