10
KEY FINDINGS
Carbon budget alignment: company by company
This new analysis provides a way of understanding whether the supply options of
the largest publicly traded oil and gas producers are aligned with demand levels
consistent with a 2 degree Celsius (2D) carbon budget. By allocating the carbon
budget to potential oil and gas projects, through applying the economic logic of a
carbon supply cost curve, it is possible to identify which companies have the
highest exposure to potential capital expenditure (capex) to 2025. This report
provides a snapshot of the potentially unneeded capex spend for 69 global oil and
gas companies – highlighting for the rst time, the wide- ranging degree of
exposure amongst companies in the sector.
Excess capex
The analysis shows that:
•
US$2.3trn – around one third – of potential capex to 2025 should not be
deployed in a 2D scenario compared to business as usual expectations.
•
Company level exposure varies from under 10% to over 60% when
considering the largest 69 publicly traded companies.
•
Around two thirds of the potential oil and gas production which is surplus
to requirements in a 2D scenario is controlled by the private sector.