As an archipelagic nation, the Philippines is under severe threat of climate change. The
country’s inhabitants, nature, and infrastructure are extremely vulnerable to the impacts of the
changing climate and the associated weather extremes (e.g. tropical cyclones) and other natural
hazards.48 Of particular importance to the Petitioners is increased storm intensity in light of the
recent devastating typhoons. While the annual frequency of tropical cyclones is generally
projected to decrease or remain essentially unchanged in the next century in most regions although the confidence in the projections is lower in specified regions than global projections global mean tropical cyclone maximum wind speed and precipitation rates are likely to
increase.49 For a summary of past research on vulnerabilities and an overview of existing
literature on climate change impacts in the Philippines authored by an independent researcher,
see Annex “F”.
Petitioners from Alabat Island, Quezon Province, have provided personal statements
describing how some of the climate change impacts affected the rights of Filipinos.
The Alabat Petitioners explain that in recent years they have been compelled to resettle
their houses farther inland because the sea seems to have risen and eaten up the formerly vast
shoreline. This was a decision that some of them made painfully for their own safety or to
comply with a government order that they needed to obey even against their will. Some needed
to brave the middle and high seas with their small to medium sized motorized bancas, often
without navigation aids and equipment appropriate to the depth and distance of fishing, because
fish catch in the municipal waters appears to be declining. Farming, copra making, and backyard
vegetable gardening have also been difficult, and recently, often unproductive. Incomes from
these activities have not augmented Petitioners’ meager and declining income from fishing. They
have noticed that it has become warmer in their communities in the last few years. During these
warmer years, the fish catch was decreasing, and some of their crops, coconuts and other
vegetables had low yields, and of almost unmarketable quality. Their recorded interviews are
hereby submitted as Exhibit “A”.
48
K. Emanuel, Increasing Destructiveness of Tropical Cyclones over the Past 30 Years, 436 NATURE, 686 (2005);
H. Ueda & E.M. Hori, E. M. (2006). Two Causes of the 2004 Hot Summer in East Asia, 79(12) GEOGRAPHICAL
REVIEW OF JAPAN, 715 (2006); K. Méheux & D. Dominey-Howes & K. Lloyd, Natural Hazard Impacts in Small
Island Developing States: A Review of Current Knowledge and Future Research Needs, 40(2) NATURAL HAZARDS,
429 (2007); A.A. Yusuf & H. Francisco, Climate Change Vulnerability Mapping for Southeast Asia, 181(December)
EAST, 1–19 (2009).
49
Christensen, J.H., K. Krishna Kumar, E. Aldrian, S.-I. An, I.F.A. Cavalcanti, M. de Castro, W. Dong, P.
Goswami, A. Hall, J.K. Kanyanga, A. Kitoh, J. Kossin, N.-C. Lau, J. Renwick, D.B. Stephenson, S.-P. Xie and T.
Zhou, 2013: Climate Phenomena and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change. In: Climate Change
2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Stocker, T.F., D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S.K. Allen, J.
Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United
Kingdom and New York, NY, USA; W. Mei, S.-P. Xie, F. Primeau, J. C. McWilliams, C. Pasquero, Northwestern
Pacific typhoon intensity controlled by changes in ocean temperatures. Sci. Adv. 1, e1500014 (2015).
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