5. The causal relationship between anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and interference with the rights to Filipinos The Honourable Commission may wish to consider two classes of material in considering the relationship between anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and interference with the right to life of Filipinos: (i) (ii) technical assessments relating to the risks from anthropogenic greenhouse gas generally; and assessments specific to The Philippines. 5.1 Technical assessments relating to the risks from anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions generally The UNFCCC process is informed by the assessments of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The most recent report, the Fifth Assessment Report10, summarises the impacts of anthropogenic climate change as follows: ‘Climate change will amplify existing risks and create new risks for natural and human systems. Risks are unevenly distributed and are generally greater for disadvantaged people and communities in countries at all levels of development.’[2.3] ‘Climate change is projected to undermine food security. Due to projected climate change by the mid-21st century and beyond, global marine species redistribution and marine biodiversity reduction in sensitive regions will challenge the sustained provision of fisheries productivity and other ecosystem services (high confidence).’[2.3.1, 2.3.2] ‘Climate change is projected to reduce renewable surface water and groundwater resources in most dry subtropical regions (robust evidence, high agreement), intensifying competition for water among sectors (limited evidence, medium agreement).’[2.3.1, 2.3.2] ‘Until mid-century, projected climate change will impact human health mainly by exacerbating health problems that already exist (very high confidence). Throughout the 21st century, climate change is expected to lead to increases in ill-health in many regions and especially in developing countries with low income, as compared to a baseline without climate change (high confidence).’[2.3.2] 10 See: https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessmentreport/ar5/syr/SYR_AR5_FINAL_full_wcover.pdf 13