Different data, different results These findings serve as guidance on the expected differences in trends in the national and CBMS results. Hence, although general trends of effects of climate on crop farming income and eventually on vulnerability to food insecurity maybe expected to be consistent, there is an expected disparity in trends as well in some of the factors that will be exhibited in later parts of this paper. It is worth mentioning that 2009 marks the year of Ondoy and higher rainfall can be expected in this year compared to other years. This is also coupled with differences in time periods (2009 and 2007-2010), differences in scope (national sample and censuses from 16 provinces), and differences in food insecurity measures (value of food consumption and malnutrition). A. Family Income and Expenditure Survey 2009 Effect of climate variables on income from crop farming and gardening and vulnerability Using the data of Family Income and Expenditure Survey for 2009, the different measures of rainfall and temperature have varying effects on crop farming and income and subsequently on food insecurity. Table 7 shows the effect of percent change in level of rainfall, seasonality, volatility, decrease in minimum temperature and increase in maximum tempearture on income from crop farming and gardening. Table 7. Effect of different climate variables on income from crop farming and gardening, FIES 2009 Categories Coef. <-20% <=20% - <-10% -10% - <0% 0%-<10% ln of income from farming and gardening Seasonality Volatility Std. Std. Std. Coef. Coef. Err. Err. Err. 0.017** 0.014** * 0.001 * 0.001 -0.072 0.086 -0.016 0.015 0.047** 0.015 * 0.011 -0.014* 0.007 0.043** 0.012 -0.026** 0.012 * 0.012 0.053** 0.007 * 0.014 -0.209** 0.098 Rainfall 0.166** * 0.031** * 10% - <20% -0.015** >=20% 0.005** * 0.001 -0.026. 0.017 0.007 0.007 -0.058 -1.992* 0.530 1.195 0.932** * -0.215 0.262 0.330 0.088 -0.614 0.533 0.304 0.262 0.093 0.744 1.651** * 0.532 -0.038 0.266 0.566 3.328** 1.536 Temperature Std. Coef. Err. Dummies <-20% <=2-0% - <-10% -10% - <0% 0%-<10% 10% - <20% 0.866** * 0.261** * -0.094 0.119 Decrease in min temp 0.990** * 0.338 CBMS-FAO | 31

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