V. >> F ramework in Practice - Implementing and Monitoring Rights
>> Interpreting statistical information from a human rights perspective
Ratio
analysis involves studying the
relationship between two indicators (variable
quantities) measured in the same unit. For
example, the ratio of girls to boys in primary
education is computed as the number of girls
in primary education divided by the number
of boys in primary education.23 The use of
ratios is also particularly relevant to budget
analysis (see sect. A 5 above). Budget data on
different expenditure ratios, such as the public
expenditure ratio, the social expenditure ratio
or the priority expenditure ratio, could be used
to draw attention to the relative importance
being accorded to specific expenditure in
the national or regional budgets (see fig. XX).
Thus, ratios reflecting the share of public
expenditure in GDP or GNI,24 the share of
education expenditure in the public sector
expenditure, the share of primary education
expenditure in education expenditure, etc.
could be analysed. Suitable benchmarks, such
as targeting education expenditure at 6 per
cent of GNI or 50 per cent of social sector
expenditure on primary education, could be
derived to improve policy advocacy. These
ratios could be further differentiated and
analysed for the budgeted amounts as
opposed to the actual spending. In addition,
a Government’s revenue mobilization efforts,
as reflected in the budget, could also be
subjected to ratio and trend analysis. This
would entail, for example, an analysis of the
tax ratio (tax revenue as a proportion of GNI);
the extent to which revenue mobilization is
progressive (predominant source of funding
being direct taxes as against indirect taxes,
which affect the poor disproportionately);
and the extent to which fiscal balance affects
intergenerational equity (running large and
persistent deficits creating an undue burden
on future generations).
Advanced statistical and econometric
analysis to identify determinants and
causal agents of social outcomes, levels of
discrimination, simulation of policy scenarios
and their implications for budgets.
Quantitative indicators corresponding to
identified human rights concerns could be
subjected to statistical and econometric
analyses to highlight human rights gaps
in the budget and its policy framework.
Moreover, simulations for different policy
variants could be undertaken to make a case
for alternative measures that address human
rights concerns more directly.25
Making use of available statistical information is
relevant to monitoring both economic, social and
cultural rights, as well as civil and political rights.
Although more efforts are made to use statistics
to monitor State obligations related to economic,
social and cultural rights, in particular “progressive
realization”, “use of maximum available resources”
(budget indicators and analysis) and “minimum
living standards” (definition of national poverty
lines), the improved availability of statistical
information on violence and security, participation
in public affairs (e.g., elections and public
appointments), access to justice (e.g., legal aid)
and law enforcement can enrich the analysis and
assessment of civil and political rights.
23. It is important to keep in mind that any change over time in the value of the ratio may be due to changes either in the numerator or
the denominator, or both (see Glossary of statistical terms).
24. Gross domestic product (GDP) is an aggregate measure of production equal to the sum of the gross values added of all resident
producers in a country plus any product taxes (less subsidies) not included in the valuation of output. GDP (per capita) is often
used as a proxy for the overall economic wealth of a country. In assessing the capacity of a State to mobilize and make use
of its maximum available resources (see International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights, art. 2 (1)), the gross
national income (GNI) may be a preferred indicator. GNI is GDP less net taxes on production and imports, less compensation
of employees and property income payable to the rest of the world plus the corresponding items receivable from the rest of the
world. GNI is identical to the gross national product previously used in national accounts.
25. See the Index of Social and Economic Rights Fulfillment available from www.serfindex.org; and Patrick Nolan Guyer and others,
“Measuring the progressive realization of economic and social human rights in Brazil: A disaggregated economic and social rights
fulfillment index”, Economic Rights Working Papers, No. 10 (University of Connecticut, Human Rights Institute, 2009).
Human Rights Indicators
131
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