-9The thlrd lrorking group lyes concerned rrlth the lapact of Ehe
Gteenhouse Effect on eoergy slrategles. They reco@ended that -Ean can
afford a 5-10 yr. tLoe !'lndow to establlsh the val.ldlty and algnlficance
of rhe Greenhouse Effect. They sald that lt is preaature to tlllt the
use of fos811 fuele at plesent but that thelr u6e should not be en-
. ihls group went on to rec@end nore research and greater
on the developDent of enelgy aoulces lrh1ch vould not resul! ln
C02 release.
couraged
effort
The DOE bas lnltlated a EaJo! research plogt:lD on the CreeoEffect unde! lhe leadershlp of Davld Slade. Detalled recomendatlons for this effort have been prepared by an Advlsory Corollttee. The6e
reco@endatlons nould have the DOE reseelch progran concentrate prlnclpa11y upor obtalalng better lnfotuallon. legErdlng the carbon eycle
nhile research on cllllatic effects, lncludlng clitate roodeling, rould
be left up NOAA. Slx prograns for research on the calbou cycle are being
house
recomended f or lmedLate fundlng
1n Vugraph 15.
prlorlty
.
These are presented
ln order of
Thls l@edlete prograe nould cost $1.56 I6i 1n the flrst year
to about $10 MM per year. lhe prograo to recelve
highest priorlty, le obtalnlng 4 better estlBate of fossl1 fuel C02 output. fhls nould lnvolve a worldwlde study of how fosel1 fuel coabustlon Blght be expected to increaae and what would I1alt this Lncrease
ln both the under-developed aad developed countrles. The second ploject
lelates to the use of carbon i.sotopes to obtala a better estfuate of
the lrlput of carbon dloxlde fron the blosphere. It ls hoped that
CL3 /cI2 ratlos as well as cL4 /cLz ratios ;atr be used for thls purpose.
attd lrould soon grolr
thlrd project 16 to obtah a direct
essesa&ent of the
blosphere lnput by observlng the grolrth or depletlon of vegetated areae
around the world fron the Landstat satellltes. ltigh resolutlon radar
and aer1al photography w111 probably be requlred in s@e lnstances to
ldentlfy vegetetlon types. The global vegetatlon oap provlded by these
Dethod6 would be u6ed to ldeotlfy sample areas for 1) further analysls
uslng photographs of hlgher resolutlon and 2) ground velldatlon of
vegetatlon aad eoll type to deflne the relatlonehlp betweea lnage
cheracterlstlcs and deslred grouud lufonnatlon. TIJo hundled to a
thousaud such areas would be ldentlfled and would be resurveyed at
2 to 5 year lntervals 1n a proglan whlch vould be expected to be able
to detect e 2Z chenge 1n the vegecatlon. Thls 1€ an expeoelve prog!:ro
and would requlle about 93 !1M per year lthen 1t is runnlng 1u ful1 fotce.
Ttle
fourth project ls to expand and lmprove the carbon dloxlde
aonltorlng Decvork. Thls would lnvolve addlug 10 to 15 addltlonel
noaltorlag statlons at suitably leloote areas and expandlng the lnstrulentatlon at all statlons so that Lt could detemlne carbon tsotope
The
ratlos
.