T.A. Cinco et al. / Atmospheric Research 145–146 (2014) 12–26
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Fig. 8. Trends of extreme daily rainfall frequency in the Philippines (1951–2010) compared with the 1961–1990 mean value.
et al., 2013). The station at Baguio shows a decreasing trend
in SWM rainfall, a significant increase in no rain days as well
as an inter-decadal reduction in heavy rainfall days above the
95th percentile. Conversely, our results show a significant
increase in rainfall intensity and an insignificant increase
in frequency of extreme rainfall. Baguio is situated in a
mountainous region of the Philippines and in addition to
orographic influences, is subject to visiting tropical cyclones.
It is also located in a region which was found to exhibit
anomalous rainfall signals associated with early development
(JAS) El Niño (La Niña) phases which normally bring drier
(wetter) conditions (Lyon and Camargo, 2008; Villafuerte et
al., 2014) to the north central Philippines. The station at Iloilo
shows an increase in SWM rainfall, albeit minimally, as well
as a slight increase in inter-decadal heavy rainfall. There was
also a significantly increasing trend in 5 day maximum
rainfall found at this station for the same period (1951–
2010) in a recent study by Villafuerte et al. (2014). This study
also confirmed the influence of ENSO events on the seasonal
rainfall patterns of the Philippines and provides perhaps the
strongest evidence yet at a national level, of its influence
on extreme rainfall indicators. Taken together this would