Climatic Change
data format for initial incorporation into the original model. M.R.A. developed the original model and codesigned the research and current model. P.C.F. co-designed the study and co-wrote paper.
Conflict of interest The authors declare that they have no specific conflict of interest.
Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a
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