89
of this emitted carbon dioxide was absorbed by the ocean, causing ocean acidification.427
The IPCC AR5 also singled out the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide as the largest
contributor to total positive radiative forcing (RF).428 RF quantifies the change in energy
fluxes caused by changes in natural and anthropogenic substances and processes that alter
the earth’s energy budget for 2011 relative to 1750. Positive RF leads to surface warming
while negative RF, leads to cooling.429
Significantly, the IPCC AR5 reported that from 1750 to 2011, carbon dioxide emissions
from fossil fuel combustion and cement production have released 375 [345 to 405] gigatons
of carbon (GtC) into the atmosphere.430 As 1 GtC equals 3.67 GtCO2, this translates to
approximately 1.376.25 [1,266.15 to 1,486.35] GtCO2 of global emissions.
Published and peer-reviewed studies431 and updates432 thereon (collectively, The Carbon
Majors Study) presented to the Commission by its author433 found that roughly 368 GtCO2e
or 21.4 percent of these global emissions from fossil fuel combustion and cement production
were from products sold by the Carbon Majors. It must, however, be stated that the study,
updated as of 2016, did not use the global emissions data from the IPCC, but rather used
the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center’s (CDIAC) data listing 1,545 GtCO2
emissions from 1751 to 2016 in a study covering the period from 1854 to 2016.
The climate model used in their analysis was based on the impulse response function
approach presented in IPCC AR5, and covered the periods from 1880 to 2010 and 1980 to
2010. The study reported the following:
427
IPCC AR5 WG1, at 11.
428
Id. at 13.
429
Id.
430
Id. at 12.
431
See Exhibit VVVV to VVVV-14, Tracing Anthropogenic Carbon Dioxide and Methane Emissions
to Fossil Fuel and Cement Producers, 1854-2010; Exhibit UUUU to UUUU-103, Carbon Majors;
Accounting for Carbon and Methane Emissions 1854-2010 Methods and Results Report;
Exhibit WWWW to WWWW-9, Supplementary Materials.
432
See
Exhibit
D,
Updated
Details
of
Carbon
Exhibit
TTTT
to
TTTT-1,
Climate Accountability
Institute,
Update of Carbon Majors Project.
433
T.S.N. of the Third Inquiry Hearing dated 29-30 August 2018, pp.53-86; See Exhibit QQQQ to
QQQQ-11, Profile and Statement of Richard Heede dated 7 August 2018; Exhibit RRRR to RRRR5, Curriculum Vitae of Richard Heede; Exhibit SSSS to SSSS-11, Printed PowerPoint Presentation
of Richard Heede, Climate Accountability Institutes’ work to quantify the contributions of carbon
producers to climate change and climate change damages.
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