In 2013, Naderev “Yeb” Sano went on a hunger strike at the UN COP, announcing that the Philippines was being destroyed by climate changeamplified super typhoons. CFACT wrote a blog in response declaring: “Typhoon activity in the Philippines is normal. despite over-the-top reporting before the typhoon struck (timed perfectly for COP 19) Typhoon Haiyan/Yolanda was not the strongest typhoon recorded in the Philippines. It was the seventh. The Philippines enjoys warm tropical weather. However, with tropical splendor comes tropical storms. This duality is a fact of life in the tropics. There are no worthwhile science or historical records which support the notion that extreme storms have worsened in the Philippines or elsewhere as a result of a warming planet. We must soberly remind ourselves that global temperatures have not risen since the nineties and that warming to date peaked at less than a degree Centigrade, with only a few years coming anywhere near that.” h. 1998 Shell predicts lawsuits based on what their scientists knew17 In 1995 Royal Dutch/Shell Group (“Shell”) initiated a scenario planning process to examine how the company should respond to the forces of globalization, liberalization, and technology. The resulting internal reports, first published in 1998, have now been unearthed by Jelmer Mommers of De Correspondent. Named “TINA” for “There is no alternative” the scenarios anticipate changes in energy consumption, technology, social cohesion, and markets. This is a follow up from a similar exercise from a few years prior and a precursor to Shell’s recent “Sky,” “Mountain,” and “Oceans,” energy outlooks. The 1998 documents focus on two primary scenarios: The New Game and People Power. Under The New Game, institutions remain strong and adapt to the changing world. While growth continues, environmental management results in a more rapid decline of coal and a stagnant future for oil. “We can scarcely believe we once thought Kyoto wouldn’t succeed.” Seemingly clairvoyant, Shell predicts a “series of violent storms” hitting the eastern coast of the United States. “Following the storms,” the authors continue, “a coalition of environmental NGOs brings a class-action suit against the US government and fossil-fuel companies on the grounds of neglecting what scientists (including their own) have been saying for years: that something must be done. A social reaction to the use of fossil fuels grows, and individuals become ‘vigilante environmentalists’ in the same way, a generation earlier, they had become fiercely anti-tobacco. Directaction campaigns against companies escalate. Young consumers, especially, demand action …” ____________________________ KERT DAVIES 18 September 2018 Signature and date of signing 17 Shell Group, “Group Scenarios 1998-2020: TINA Above and Below,” 1998 (available at http://www.climatefiles.com/shell/1998-shell-internal-tina-group-scenarios-1998-2020-report/). Climate Investigations Center - September 2018 page 9