4
climate change. In fact, one of the shocking findings in Ekwurzel, et al. is:
“Strikingly, more than half of all emissions traced to carbon producers over the
1880-2010 period were produced since 1986, the period in which the climate risks
of fossil fuel combustion was well established”.11 Even if ignorance had excused
the carbon majors during some of the period before 1986, it certainly has not been
available as an excuse in the last thirty years when more than half the damage has
been done - and continues unabated. Ignorance of climate effects could not have
been the real explanation of the behaviour of the carbon majors in any case
because, when the ignorance was eliminated, nothing in their behaviour changed.
They continue to acquire fossil fuel to be burned with the uncontrolled release of
carbon pollution and to explore aggressively for more and more supplies of fossil
fuels to be burned in the same unsafe way.
2.5 Less harmful alternatives
What would have been the right response no later than 1986 and in all subsequent
years? When someone who has been providing a product (or service) that she
believed was safe to use discovers that, on the contrary, the product is dangerous as
currently used, she has fundamentally two choices: substitution or modification.
She cannot simply persist in business-as-usual as if nothing has changed, as the
carbon majors largely continue to do to this day. Common-sense dictates that
provision of the product cannot simply be immediately stopped if the product is
needed for a vital function like the supply of [some] energy. Thus, the
substitution or modification could not realistically have been instant. But when
the harm being done is of the incomparable magnitude of undermining the physical
pre-conditions of society as we know it, the substitution or modification ought to
have been implemented as soon as possible with all deliberate speed, making use
of all the resources that could possibly be made available. In the case of fossil
fuel companies, resources could have been taken out of exploration to discover
additional reserves of a product that it had then been realized could not be used
safely and turned instead toward prompt substitution or modification. One or
both alternatives could have been vigorously pursued decades ago. “The major
investor-owned fossil fuel companies did not follow this path. On the contrary,
they took essentially the opposite path, denying the reality of the problem of
climate change, working to ensure that fossil fuels would remain central to global
production and that emissions would continue unabated”.12
The choice between substitution and modification - or any combination of the two
- was up to the carbon majors. Substitution - development of a safe alternative to
fossil fuel - in this case would obviously have meant research and development on
alternative energy. Vigorous R & D on energy alternatives with the vast
resources available to carbon majors might well have brought far sooner the
plummeting of prices for non-carbon energy that has occurred only recently,
thereby avoiding much of the soaring carbon emissions of the last three decades.
Some oil company executives now talk in their public relations campaigns about
changing their firms from oil companies to ‘energy companies’. That choice to
move toward safety for humanity was available decades sooner. The carbon
majors decided not to take the safer choice, thereby imposing danger on all
humanity, now and in future.
Modification, the other safe alternative, would have meant the development at
scale of technologies for carbon capture so that if fossil fuel combustion continued,
it would not continue progressively to undermine the stability of the established
————————————
11Ekwurzel,
et al. (note 2).
Frumhoff, R. Heede, and N. Oreskes, ‘The climate responsibilities of industrial carbon
producers’, Climatic Change, 132 (2015), 157–171. doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1472-5. Copy
attached to this statement.
12P.C.