the public of those risks, global greenhouse emissions only accelerated. In fact, more than 50%
of all historic emissions have occurred since 1988.
It is against this decades long history of evolving scientific understanding, increasing warnings
and growing public urgency on climate change that the Carbon Majors awareness of and action
on climate change is best evaluated.
As Leading Producers and Marketers of Fossil Fuels, the Carbon Majors Had the Early
Opportunity and Capacity to Identify and Act on the Risks of Climate Change
In evaluating the salience of industry knowledge and actions on climate change for the Carbon
Majors’ responsibility for the ensuing violations of human rights, it is equally important to note
the Carbon Majors’ unique role with respect to climate.
As Petitioners note, the 48 Respondents to the Petition comprise the largest historic producers of
crude oil, natural gas, coal, and cement among all investor-owned and state owned corporations.
Collectively, their production and its embedded greenhouse emissions account for one third of all
industrial CO2 and methane emitted globally since the dawn of the industrial revolution.13 As
upstream producers and marketers of fossil fuels and cement, the Respondents sat—and continue
to sit—in a uniquely privileged position with respect to global greenhouse gas emissions: but for
the sale of their products and services, and but for activities substantially within the control of
the Respondents and their corporate predecessors in interest, a significant portion of global
greenhouse gases as measured over historic time might never have been emitted.
As the synthesis report documents, a growing body of evidence demonstrates that many
corporations responsible for producing and marketing fossil fuels were aware of climate risks
decades earlier than previously recognized. More specifically, CIEL’s assessment of the
evidence currently available to the public suggests the following conclusions:
Theories regarding the potential link between fossil fuel combustion at atmospheric
temperature increase were widely reported in scientific literature and academic texts
relevant to the oil and gas industry from the early decades of the 20th Century.14
The Oil and Gas Industry had incentives, opportunity and relevant expertise to
investigate and understand climate science.15
Documentary Evidence demonstrates that at least one of the Identified Carbon Majors
was aware of and actively investigating climate change by no later 1957.16
13
See Richard Heede, Carbon Major Entities Cumulative Emission to 2013 Ranked (Climate Accountability
Institute Feb. 2015). Heede’s landmark research in tracing producer’s embedded emissions throughout the industrial
era was originally published in the peer-reviewed journal Climatic Change in 2014. Richard Heede, Tracing
anthropogenic carbon dioxide and methane emissions to fossil fuel and cement producers 1854-2010, Climatic
Change 122- 229 (2014). A complete description of the methodology used is available at
http://climateaccountability.org/pdf/MRR%209.1%20Apr14R.pdf. (Note that CIEL President Carroll Muffett, who
contributed to the present Opinion, serves as a volunteer member of the Board of Directors of the Climate
Accountability Institute.)
14
Synthesis Report, supra note 4, at 3.
15
Id.
16
See id. at 6.
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