Memorandum for the Petitioners |122
harm.
So I was just going to start off by looking at the
sustainable development goals... .
This addresses the health question and it shows from a
paper that was cited in the reports, [Ana Maria] VicedoCabrera and co-authors looked at the balance between
the number of people dying from extreme cold on the left
and the number of people dying from extreme heat on the
right and how that balance changed between present day
conditions, one point five degrees (1.5°) of warming, and
what’s shown here between one point five degrees (1.5°)
and two degrees (2°) of warming. So we are asking what
are the avoided impacts of limiting moving to one point
five degrees (1.5°) compared to allowing warming to rise
to two degrees (2°) because of course the brief of this
report was to try and say what's the benefit of limiting
warming to one point five degrees (1.5°).
XXX
We see a greater prevalence of increased heat deaths due to
hot conditions, then reduced cold deaths due to cold
conditions, which is understandable. [The] Philippines is a
warm country. It's probably not a country where there are
very many deaths due to extreme cold. You can also see, and
this is also representative in the Philippines.
big range of uncertainty in the net impact.
That's quite a
But we are
starting to be able to quantify the net impact of different
levels of warming on human health and specifically the
most extreme manifestation of human health human
mortality. ...
XXX
... Unfortunately the Philippines is one of those countries
that is projected to actually experience significant
reductions in economic growth at both one point five (1.5)
and two degrees (2°) of warming. So even at one point,
even going from the current level of warming to one point
five degrees (1.5°) of warming is projected to significantly
impact the economic development of the Philippines.
So that's focused on the question of whether there is harm.
I've given you two (2) examples of documentable harm from
the rise in global temperatures that's attributable to these
emissions. ...
XXX
ATTY. MAYO-ANDA:
Thank you, and what do you think is the significance of that
study to this current Inquiry?
DR. ALLEN:
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