-8of the equatorlal reSlons Dlght result ln a
deBert areas ln the Uolted States. Qur
of
the
northnald Elgratlon
present con and sheat belts would also nove uolthwerd and Elgrate
lnto canada. It csn be eeen that Russla, lft1ch ls lndlcated by the
cloesed hatched aree, lies conelderably farthe! oorth than does the
unlted Stetes. The very dark areas lodlcate the agllcultura1 reglons
of Russla. If cllsatic zones Elgrate aorthrtsrd, the Russlatrs have
plenty of roolr to adopt to the change. Even those nations shlch are
favored, howeve!, would be dauaged for a whl1e slnce thei! agrlcultural
end induEtrlal patterns have been establlshed on the bals of the present
The broadenlng
c1lmate.
rv.
The Creenhouee Effect haE been attracthg a large asouat of
sclentlflc ettentloa. Sone of the Eore Loportent recent Deetlngs on
thls eubject are ptesented ln Vugraph 14. The llorld lleteorologlcal
Organlzatloa held I sclentlflc workshop oo atnosPherlc CO2 ln WaEhlngtou '
DC, ln Deceob et !976. ERDA held a workshop ou the Envllonnental Effect
of C02 from Foesll !ue1 Corbustlon at Mlaal la March of L977, Thls DeetlDg rras organlzed by thelr Advl.sory co@lttee for research on the Greentrouse Effect, the Chalnoan of which 1s Dr. Alvln Welnberg. DOErs present
research effort on the G:eenhouse Effect is a dlrect result of thls
workshop end I !1111 be saylng Eore about thelr ProglaD late!. SCOPE
(Standlng Cofiolttee on the Planetary EnvlronmeDt), a l{est European organlzation, held a workshop on the world carbon budget in l'larch of 1977 ln
Haoburg, Gernany. The most recent DaJor Beetlng !ta6 that organlzed Ln
luxenburg, Austrla, thls Past february by IIASA (Interoatlonal Instltute
for Applled SysteEs Analysls) for the lJor1d Meteorologlcal organlzatlon,
the U.N. Co@1ttee on the EnvllonDeut and SCoPE.
frql thls last oeetlng srnnarLze the present
lrtth
lesPect to the Greenhouse Effect. The
vorld selentlflc oplulon
IIASA ueetlng ras organLzed lnlo three worklng grouPs. Sone of the lore
slgnlfleant recmendatlons of these wotklng groups are Presented ln
Ttre concluslons
Vugraph 15.
The worklng group on the cetbon cycle concluded that sclentlflc
confidence Ln oodels of that cycle 1s conslderably less than lt nas ten
yeals ago. Ilhat 1s necessery to ln8tl11 greater coufl'dence is to Provlde a better underetaoding of the flux floD the biosphere as rePorted
by the bj.ologlets. The worklng group also recomended that Dore lnformatlon be obtalned on the jtterchange of CO2 lnto the ocean and holt lt
18 transported to greate! depthE.
grouP' on the clLuatlc lupact of a doubling
to those whlch have been sr:noarlzed
concluElons
cloee
of COL, reached
present
a doubllng of ataospherlc carbon
felt
thae
ra1k.
They
1n the
lncrease 1n tenperature
produce
centlgrade
2-3
degree
a
dloxlde vould
depending upon the lnfluence of clouds.
lhe
Eecond worklng