for children, including risk of drowning, displacement and extensive health impacts resulting from disease, deprivation of access to food and safe water, and trauma. 4.5 Right to Protection from Violence, Exploitation and Abuse The stresses that climate change places on livelihoods and communities have been linked to an increase in children’s exposure to exploitation, violence and abuse, including as a result of child labour, early marriage, sexual violence and child trafficking, with heightened risks likely to be experienced by girls and children displaced or migrating in the context of climaterelated disasters.120 Increasing pressure on livelihoods in rural areas as a result of climate change will increase poverty in the Philippines, which in turn is expected to push more children into labour – including its most hazardous forms – with direct impacts on children’s attendance at school, safety and wellbeing.121 According to the 2011 National Survey on Children, 2.1 million Filipino children were considered to be engaged in child labour in 2011, of which 98 per cent were engaged in its most hazardous forms, and 60 per cent were engaged in the agricultural sector.122 Following Typhoon Haiyan, a spike in the number of children migrating to cities in order to search for work was also observed.123 In the context of climate-related disasters, a combination of widespread confusion, economic vulnerability, and separation from family members can create the conditions for child trafficking to thrive.124 Trafficking and other forms of gender-based violence were among the most acute risks faced by women and girls in particular in the wake of Typhoon Haiyan,125 including those living in reportedly overcrowded evacuation centres.126 Areas heavily impacted by the typhoon, and overlapping with high levels of child poverty, were already known “hot-spots” for trafficking of women and girls, even prior to the disaster,127 illustrating how climate-related stress not only creates, but further exacerbates the conditions in which violations of children’s rights can occur. 4.6 Right to Protection from Conflict There has been increasing scrutiny of the way in which the impacts of climate change act as a ‘threat multiplier’ in relation to conflict, due to its role in compounding and exacerbating other political, social and economic sources of tension,128 with catastrophic consequences for a broad range of children’s rights.129 In the Southern Philippines, and particularly Mindanao, children have been severely afflicted by long-standing armed conflict and clan feuds. These are responsible for displacing more than 251,000 people in 2016 alone,130 and are associated with disrupted access to children’s access to education and other basic services, along with experience of violence, loss of family members, and a litany of grave violations.131 Children in these conflict-affected communities are also facing exposure to some of the most severe climate-related changes in the Philippines; Mindanao is expected to experience some of the most rapid increases in temperature over coming decades, including longer and hotter heatwaves. This, combined with a projected decrease in annual average rainfall in the south, will greatly exacerbate the risk of drought, particularly during El Nino years. 132 Furthermore, many of Mindanao’s inhabitants, including the majority of the population of the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (ARMM), live in the immediate vicinity of the coast and are therefore highly exposed to sea level rise and storm surges.133 Livelihoods that are highly dependent on fragile and climate-sensitive natural resources, combined with the highest levels of poverty and lowest levels of human development in the

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