studies found a relation to temperature and/or precipitation for dengue47 but other
results seemed to be neither consistent nor significant. This can be traced back to a
large importance of non-climatic reasons for the spread of the illness48 but also to the
varying conditions in the country, in particular for the precipitation which is often
discussed as a factor.
•
Noting limited knowledge regarding the spatial distribution of vulnerability to climate
change, most vulnerable areas found are drought prone areas housing populations
strongly dependent on agricultural yields as food and income source. For regions
further situated near the coast, additional risks contribute to an even higher
vulnerability. All the coastal areas where coral reefs and mangroves are still present
should be regarded as vulnerable. The same is true for the corresponding communities
nearby. The possible disappearance of an ecotype seems to be of particular importance
as the reversal is almost impossible. Much detailed knowledge regarding the spatial
distribution can potentially be found in the listed case studies of Table 2 (next page).
47
G.L.S. Su, Correlation of Climatic Factors and Dengue Incidence in Metro Manila, Philippines, 37(4)
AMBIO 292; W.-C. Tseng & C.-C. Chen & C.-C. Chang & Y.-H. Chu, Estimating the Economic Impacts of
Climate Change on Infectious Diseases: a Case Study on Dengue Fever in Taiwan, 92(1-2) CLIMATE
CHANGE 123 (2009); Y.L. Hii & J. Rocklöv & N. Ng & C.S. Tang & F.Y. Pang & R. Sauerborn, Climate
Variability and Increase in Intensity and Magnitude of Dengue Incidence in Singapore, 2(1) GLOB HEALTH
ACTION (2009).
48
A.A. Khasnis & M.D. Nettleman, Global Warming and Infectious Disease, 36(6) ARCHIVES OF MEDICAL
RESEARCH 689 (2005).