Environ. Res. Lett. 12 (2017) 084019
ExxonMobil has responded stating, ‘We unequivocally reject allegations that ExxonMobil suppressed
climate change research contained in media reports
that are inaccurate distortions of ExxonMobil’s nearly
40 year history of climate research. We understand that
climate risks are real. The company has continuously,
publicly and openly researched and discussed the risks
of climate change, carbon life cycle analysis and
emissions reductions’ [11]. In particular, ExxonMobil’s website and statements offer a ‘10 page document
listing the over 50 peer-reviewed articles on climate
research and related policy analysis from ExxonMobil
scientists from 1983 to the present’ [11–15]. ExxonMobil argues that this list, entitled ‘Exxon Mobil
Contributed Publications’, ‘undercuts the allegation
. . . that ExxonMobil sought to hide our research.’
The company has also published some of its internal
company documents, originally made public by
journalists at InsideClimate News (ICN) [16, 17]
(and simultaneously reported by Columbia University’s Graduate School of Journalism and the Los
Angeles Times [18]), to demonstrate that ‘allegations
are based on deliberately cherry-picked statements’
[14]. ‘Read all of these documents and make up your
own mind,’ ExxonMobil has challenged [14].
This paper takes up that challenge by analyzing
the materials highlighted by the company, and
comparing them with other publicly available
ExxonMobil communications on AGW. The issue
at stake is whether the corporation misled consumers, shareholders and/or the general public by
making public statements that cast doubt on climate
science and its implications, and which were at odds
with available scientific information and with what
the company knew. We stress that the question is not
whether ExxonMobil ‘suppressed climate change
research,’ but rather how they communicated
about it [11].
Our analysis covers the publication period of the
documents made available by ExxonMobil: 1977–
2014. These documents include peer-reviewed and
non-peer-reviewed publications (academic papers,
conference proceedings, reports, company pamphlets,
etc) and internal documents. Our analysis compares
these documents with ExxonMobil’s public outreach
in the form of paid, editorial-style advertisements—
known as ‘advertorials’—published on the Op-Ed
page of The New York Times (NYT) [19]. We focus on
advertorials because they come directly from ExxonMobil and are an unequivocally public form of
communication ‘designed to affect public opinion or
official opinion’ [20]. Kollman has found that
advertorializing is second only to mobilizing group
members as the most commonly used outside
lobbying technique [20, 21]. We examine whether
these communications sent consistent messages about
the state of climate science and its implications, or
whether there is a discernable discrepancy between the
company’s public and private communications.
2
Our study offers the first empirical assessment and
intercomparison of ExxonMobil’s private and public
statements on AGW2. By bringing to bear the
quantitative methodologies of consensus measurement [22, 23] and content analysis [24–28], our results
add to (i) earlier analyses of ExxonMobil’s communication practices [19, 20, 29–36], (ii) qualitative
accounts of the company’s AGW communications
[17, 18, 37–39], and (iii) the application of consensus
measurement/content analysis to AGW communications [26–28, 40, 41]. In addition, this study
contributes to the broader literature on climate change
denial [42–48], corporate issue management [21, 35,
49, 50] and misinformation strategies [51–55], and the
social construction of ignorance [56–58].
2. Method
We adapt and combine the methodologies used to
quantify the consensus on AGW by Oreskes [23] and
Cook et al [22] with the content analysis methodologies used to characterize media communications of
AGW by Feldman et al and Elsasser and Dunlap [27,
28]. Developed to assess peer-reviewed scientific
literature, cable news, and conservative newspapers,
respectively, these offer generalizable approaches to
quantifying the positions of an entity or community
on a particular scientific question across multiple
document classes.
Our study comprises 187 documents (see table 1):
32 internal documents (from ICN [16], ExxonMobil
[59], and Climate Investigations Center [60]); 53
articles labeled ‘Peer-Reviewed Publications’ in
ExxonMobil’s ‘Contributed Publications’ list [15];
48 (unique and retrievable) documents labeled
‘Additional Publications’ in ExxonMobil’s ‘Contributed Publications’ list; 36 Mobil/ExxonMobil advertorials related to climate change in the NYT; and 18
‘Other’ publicly available ExxonMobil communications–mostly non-peer-reviewed materials–obtained
during our research. To our knowledge, these
constitute the relevant, publicly available internal
documents that have led to recent allegations against
ExxonMobil, as well as all peer-reviewed and nonpeer-reviewed documents offered by the company in
response. They also include all discovered ExxonMobil
advertorials in the NYT discussing AGW. Advertorials
are sourced from a collection compiled by PolluterWatch based on a search of the ProQuest archive [61].
2
There are, of course, countless additional climate change
communications from ExxonMobil that could be included in
future work, including archived internal documents, advertorials
published in newspapers beyond the NYT, and non-peer-reviewed
materials such as speech transcripts, television adverts, patent
documents, shareholder reports, and third-party communications
(for example, from lobbyists, think-tanks, and politicians funded by
ExxonMobil). These documents are potentially important, but are
not the focus of the present study.