XI – Davao 17.70% 17.33% 17.70% 17.94% XII - SOCCSKSARGEN 14.74% 14.74% 14.74% 14.74% CAR 7.27% 7.27% 7.27% 8.55% ARMM 8.74% 8.21% 8.95% 8.95% 22.19% 22.49% 22.19% 22.64% 14.53% 14.29% 14.53% 15.02% XII – Caraga IVB – MIMAROPA Source of basic data: Philippine Statistics Authority – Food and Income Expenditure Survey 2009 Map 1. Change in predicted and projected vulnerability, rainfall model, FIES 2009 Map 2. Change in predicted and projected vulnerability, temperature model, FIES 2009 Source of basic data: Philippine Statistics Authority – Food and Income Expenditure Survey Chronic and transient food insecurity due to rainfall and temperature shock At least 8 in every 10 families who are food secure today will still remain food secure in the future, given rainfall and temperature as climate shocks. Proportion of families who are chronically food insecure due to changes in level of rainfall and temperature are about 13.2 and 13.5 percent, respectively. Furthermore, transitory food insecure due to rainfall is about 0.2 percent and slightly higher for temperature shock at 0.4 percent. Across the regions, Zamboanga region has the highest proportion of families who are chronically food insecure (both in rainfall level and temperature) with almost 30 percent of the families in the region experiencing this. Proportion of never food insecure families is highest in Cagayan Valley region where 9 in every 10 families did not experience and will not experience food insecurity in the future. On the other hand, Central Visayas and Davao regions will have the highest proportion of families who are transitory food insecure given level of rainfall as the climate shock. It is worth noting that more than 1 percent of the families in CAR region are transitory food insecure due changes in temperature in the future. CBMS-FAO | 35