because of their stage in life, are dependent on adults
or the working age population. And then there is
also the elderly population who also depend on the
working age population for food, shelter, health and
other basic necessities.
The shift to the second phase, that is, a bigger
proportion of the working age population vis-à-vis
dependents, will be determined by how well the
country manages population growth through the
Responsible Parenthood and Reproductive Health
(RPRH) Law. Full implementation of the RPRH
Law, coupled with adequate investments on the
youth’s human capital, will enable the country to
reap the demographic dividend by 2030 through
2040. Otherwise, the country will have to wait
until at least 2050 to benefit from the demographic
dividend, or possibly even miss it altogether.
Challenges
Several factors associated with changes in the
size, structure, and attributes of the country’s
population affect the prospects for reaping the
demographic dividend. These include population
growth rate and distribution, access to health,
education, employment, and finances.
The implementation of the RPRH Law needs to
go beyond the “business-as-usual” strategies and
tactics in order to make significant impacts on
population and development processes, and hence,
improve the health and well-being of each Filipino
as envisioned in the Ambisyon 2040. Prioritizing
and addressing the following challenges will hasten
the country’s achievement of the demographic
dividend.
1. The demographic transition is slow because
fertility rate remains high. In the Philippines,
the demographic transition is at a stage where
mortality is relatively low but fertility remains
high. Majority of the regions in the country
have fertility levels which are higher than the
national average of 2.7 children.
2. Two million Filipinos are added to the
population every year. The latest Population
Census recorded about 101 million Filipinos
living in the country in 2015. While the pace
of growth is slowing – from 1.9 percent annual
growth rate in 2000-2010 to 1.7 percent in
2010-2015 – the population continues to grow
significantly, with about 2 million Filipinos
added to the population every year.
3. The regional patterns of population growth
fuel changes in regional age structures, creating
inequality in opportunities and outcomes.
Economic opportunities are concentrated in a
few regions, notably NCR, Central Luzon, and
CALABARZON, where social conditions and
development outcomes are better than other
regions. Their relatively better performance
compared with the rest of the regions is a
product of geography and initial resource
endowments.
4. Children below 15 years of age continue to
form the base of the country’s population age
structure. Based on the 2010 population census,
about 33.4 percent or 30.7 million Filipinos were
below 15 years of age; 60.3 percent were between
15 to 64 years old (comprising the working or
productive ages); and 4.2 percent were aged 65
and over. Having a young population means a
continuing increase in population due to the
large cohorts of young women who will soon
enter the childbearing years and contribute to
the fertility level in the country (population
momentum). This also explains the large
number of young dependents.
5. The older population in the country is still
a small fraction but slowly growing. In 2010,
Filipinos aged 60 and older accounted for 6.2
percent of the country’s population, almost the
same level as in 2000. However, while ageing
prevalence in the Philippines may be relatively
low, the proportion of the elderly to the total
population is expected to reach a double-digit
mark in 2020 assuming a moderate fertility and
mortality decline.
6. Women having more children than they
wanted indicates a high unmet need for
family planning. The high fertility level
especially among poor and less-educated
women is mainly because of the low level of
access to family planning commodities such
as contraceptives. Only a third of women
20 2019 Annual Report Responsible Parenthood and Reproductive Health Act of 2012