Memorandum for the Petitioners | 37
land conditions, including heat related events such as heat waves
(high confidence)'!* and heavy precipitation events.''”
5.22.4.
The
CQ»
emissions
from
deforestation,
human-induced fires, and logging remain high. The 2019 IPCC
SRCCL estimates that gross emissions from land use and landuse change (mostly from deforestation and logging) during 2007-
2016 were almost 20 GtCO2 annually.!"8
5.22.5.
“Climate change has already affected food
security due to warming, changing precipitation patterns, and
greater frequency of some extreme events.”!?
In many lower-
latitude regions, yields of some crops (e.g., maize and wheat)
have declined. Agricultural pests and diseases have already
responded to climate change resulting in both increases and
decreases of infestations.!”°
5.22.6.
Climate change creates additional stresses on
land, exacerbating existing risks to livelihoods, biodiversity,
human and ecosystem health, infrastructure, and food systems
(high confidence).'”! The stability of food supply is projected to
decrease as the magnitude and frequency of extreme weather
events that disrupt food chains increases.”
5.22.7.
“Changes
in
climate
can
amplify
environmentally induced migration both within countries and
across borders.”!#
events
chains,
may
lead
threatened
Extreme weather and climate or slow-onset
to increased
livelihoods,
stresses for conflict.!”4
displacement,
and
contribute
disrupted
food
to exacerbated
5.22.8.
Rapid reductions in GHG emissions across
all sectors will reduce the negative impacts of climate change on
land ecosystems and food systems. However, delaying climate
"6 When the IPCC scientists use the terms ‘confidence’ and ‘likelihood,’ each term has a different and very
specific meaning relating to levels of certainty. When scientists mention ‘confidence,’ they are referring to
the degree of confidence in being correct. In the case of the IPCC where scientists are analyzing global
climate, issues such as lack of observational data in certain regions, such as Africa, will affect scientists’
confidence in their findings. When scientists mention ‘likelihood’ they are referring to the probability of an
event or outcome occurring. See Australian Government Department of the Environment Confidence and
Likelihood IPCC Fifth Assessment Report Fact Sheet, available at https://www.environment.gov.au (last
accessed on 12 September 2019).
"7 IPCC 2019, Summary for Policymakers: Climate Change and Land, supra note 111, Sec. A4.2., p. 12.
"8 Id. Sec. A3.1., p. 7.
"9 Id. Sec.A2.8, p.7.
120 Id.
21 Id, Sec. A5, p. 15.
122 I. Sec. A5.4, p. 16.
123 Id. Sec. A5.4, p. 16.
124 Td. Sec. AS.7., p. 17.
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