Memorandum for the Petitioners |118
8.134.The UCS-led
carbon producers
study incorporated emissions data from the 90
identified by Mr. Heede
into a simple, well-established
climate model that captures how carbon dioxide
Earth’s atmosphere lead to the extra trapping
global surface temperature and sea level. Using
quantified the results of including or excluding
contributions to climate change— based on the
and methane emitted into the
of heat, driving increases in
this model, the research team
different natural and human
very specific contributions
of emissions tied to these companies’ products.°”’
8.135.The UCS-led study analyzed the climate change impacts
associated with each company’s carbon dioxide and methane emissions
for two time-periods: 1880-2010 and 1980-2010. The latter time period was
chosen as indicative of a key factor relevant to the societal assessment of
company climate responsibility.°°
8.136.In her Statement**' dated 20 September 2018, Dr. Ekwurzel
emphasized that their study demonstrates that the proportional increase in
atmospheric carbon dioxide, ,Global Mean Surface Temperature
(GMST), and Global Sea Level (GSL) rise -- key indicators of human
impact on the global environment -- from emissions traced to major carbon
producers is quantifiable and substantial. The analyses presented in the
study could be extended to examine the contribution of emissions traced
to major carbon producers to other climate impacts,°™ such as historical
increases in ocean acidification or the mortality impacts from extreme heat
and other extreme events.*?
RESPONDENT
CARBON
MAJORS’
ACTIONS
OR
INACTIONS
ARE
LINKED
TO
THE
CLIMATE
CHANGE
OCCURRING
AND/OR
THREATENING TO OCCUR IN
THE PHILIPPINES.
559 Id. p.3.
56° Jbid.; It is worth noting that despite the year 1980 chosen for the start of the second time period in the
UCS-led study, there is documentary evidence that the fossil fuel industry had actual knowledge of the
grave dangers posed to people by climate change arising from the use of their fossil fuel products as early
as the 1950s and 1960s (see section Part V [D]).
5°! Exhibit “EEEEEEE” to “EEEEEEE-3,” supra note 135, p. 2.
58 Id p.2.
°% Exhibit “R” to “R-8,” Profile and Statement of Peter Frumhoff, PhD, dated 16 March 2018, p. 6.
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