Memorandum for the Petitioners |117
and Director of Climate Science of the Climate and Energy Program at the
UCS,
published
Atmospheric
a peer-reviewed
CO2,
Surface
study
Temperature,
entitled,
“The
Rise
and Sea Level from
in
Global
Emissions
Traced to Major Carbon Producers.”>© This provides a robust answer to the
following questions:
1.
| How much of the change in climate that the world is now
experiencing is due to these emissions traced to the
products of specific companies?
2.
Can we measure the contributions of emissions by specific
companies to the rise in global surface temperature and sea
level?°°7
8.133. The study by Dr. Ekwurzel et al. (“UCS-led study”) confirms Mr.
Heede’s findings that significant amount of emissions could be traced to
respondent Carbon Majors, but the UCS-led research went further by
specifically quantifying proportional increase in atmospheric CO2, global
mean surface temperature, and global sea-level from emissions traced to these
major carbon producers.
Pertinent key findings show the following:
a)
Emissions traced to the 90 largest
carbon producers contributed approximately 57%
of
the
observed
rise
in
atmospheric
carbon
dioxide, nearly 50% of the rise in global average
temperature, and around 30% of global sea-level
rise between 1880-2010;
owned
BP,
b)
Emissions linked to 50 investorcarbon producers, including respondents
Chevron,
ConocoPhillips,
ExxonMobil,
Peabody, Shell and Total — contributed to roughly
16% of the global average temperature increase
from 1880 to 2010, and around 11% of the global
sea-level rise during the same time frame; and
c)
Emissions
tied to the same
50
companies from 1980 to 2010, a period of time when
fossil fuel companies were well-aware that their
products were contributing to climate change,
contributed approximately 10% of the global
average temperature increase and about 4% sea-
level rise.°>®
556 Exhibit “H,” Ekwurzel, B., et af. (23 April 2017), The Rise in Global Atmospheric CO2, Surface
Temperature, and Sea Level from Emissions Traced to Major Carbon Producers.
*? Exhibit “R” to “R-8,” Profile and Statement of Peter Frumhoff, PhD, dated 16 March 2018, p. 2.
*°8 See Exhibit “H,” supra note 556; Also see “R” to “R-8,” Profile and Statement of Peter Frumhoff, PhD,
dated 16 March 2018, pp. 4-5.
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