-10The flfth proJect ls !o obtaln better lnforuatlon on Bhe traascarbon dloxlde froo surface lraters Lnto the deeper ocean. Thls
would lnvolve uot ooly studies of C02 but also of tracers 6uch as trltium,
he1fi:o-3 and radlocarboa. Thls would tequlre teEearch wlth oceanographlc
shlps and, when conpletely under way, would cost about $5 W/year. The
last of the hlgh prlorlty programs fo! 1@edlate fuudlng is to obtaln
better lnforEetlon on the buffering of C02 absorptlon Ln the ocean.
fer of
After the 1nlt1al ptoglaDs are uoder !ray, the Advlsory CoeElttee 1s recmendlng that an addltlonal effort Lovolvlug seven Dore
proglao6 be establlshed. These are l1sted, tn order of prlorlty, ln
Vugraph 17. The ent1re proglao nouLd cost 91.26 loi l.tr th€ plaonl.ng
phase and would
rlse to
$5 MM/year when under !ray.
The flrst ltem 1n thls prograD, and the aeventh ln the overall
prlorlty list, 1s to deternlne lrhether shallos lrate! calbonates are dlssolvlug because of C02 1evels. The secoad lteE rrould be to obtaln a
better estlDate of the lesponse of the blota as a slok for addltlonel
carbon dloxlde. The thlrd ln thls program is to develop better models
fo! the carbon cycle. Although nodellng is en extreDely tmportant
undertaklng, 1t 1s pleced n1trth on the overall 1lst because lnforDatlon
flon the earller pro8lans ls needed for bette! nodel developuent.
Iteo nuober teD reco@ends a study and a better deflnltlon of
the late of cErbon dloxlde exchange actoss the lnterface befireen the air
and the ocean. The next project would be to study the flux of organlc
carbon lnto and rrlthln the eea. IteD number twelve 1s to develop loproved carbon dloxlde Deaauleuent technlques, rhl1e the floal lteu on
thls 1lst iB to study the dlssolutloa of deep sea calciuo carbonate aE
a final slak for etDospherlc carbon dloxl.de.
V.
Suppary
A euuoary of rny talk 1s presented ln Vugraph 18. In the filst
place' there 1s geoeral eclentlflc agreement that the Eost 1lkely nanner
ln whlch oaukiad ia lnfluetrclng the global cllsate ls through earbon
dloxlde release floa the buralag of fossll fuels. A doubllng of earbon
dloxlde 16 egtlaated to be eapable of lacreaslng the average global tenperature by fron 10 to 3oC, wlth a 10"C rlse predlcted at the poles. More
research i.B needed, howeve!, to estab116h the va11d1ty and signiflcance
of predlctlons wlth respect to the Greeahouse Effect. It ls eurrently
estlDated that Danklad hes a 5-10 yt. tfue wlndov to obtaln the necessery lnf omatlon. A nal or research effort ln lhls area is belng consldered by the U.S. Departnent of Eoergy.