Last updated: 2018-12-03
The indicator is calculated as the total count of conflict-related deaths divided by the total resident
population in a given situation of armed conflict for the year, expressed per 100,000 population,
occurring within the preceding 12 months.
The total count of conflict-related deaths includes first the total number of documented direct deaths,
using all potentially relevant data sources (e.g. UN peace missions, national statistical offices, national
human rights institutions, civil society organisations). Documented cases provide verified information on
each direct conflict-related death.
Depending on the magnitude of conflict-related deaths, capacity of data providers, and other contextual
and practical considerations, the methodology will seek to produce statistical estimates of
undocumented deaths directly linked to the armed conflict. Further work will be needed to cover deaths
indirectly linked to the armed conflict, e.g. loss of access to essential goods and services. Existing data
must be updated regularly and retrospectively reflecting the emergence of new data over time.
4.d. Validation
4.e. Adjustments
4.f. Treatment of missing values (i) at country level and (ii) at regional level
•
At country level
As a starting point, the indicator will only include documented conflict-related direct deaths. If there are
no documented conflict-related direct deaths for a particular situation of armed conflict, no estimate of
missing values will be computed. Specific to the nature of this indicator, it is worth noting that depending
on the availability and quality of data over the course of the armed conflict, statistical surveys and
techniques may be used to estimate undocumented direct conflict-related deaths, adding the statistical
estimates to the documented cases.
National datasets with sufficiently well documented direct deaths constitute an essential source for further
statistical analysis and estimations of undocumented direct deaths. As indirect deaths would typically fall
outside the scope of common casualty recording practices (that rather focus on direct deaths), they may
be captured using additional administrative records and/or statistical surveys allowing the measurement
of excess mortality, namely all the deaths (direct and indirect) that would not have occurred in time of
peace, as defined and measured by epidemiologists.
The methodology for these estimations will be further developed in collaboration with national statistical
offices, national human rights institutions, UN entities and civil society organizations.
•
At regional and global levels
Same as country level.