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T.A. Cinco et al. / Atmospheric Research 145–146 (2014) 12–26
Fig. 7. Trends in extreme daily rainfall intensity in the Philippines (1951–2010) compared with the 1961–1990 mean values.
peak in temperatures in 1998 all of which are consistent with
the results of analysis presented here. Furthermore, the lack
of sub-national spatial consistency and a lower occurrence of
statistically significant results for rainfall related indices
(extreme frequency and intensity) observed in this study
are also consistent with the regional findings in the Manton
et al. (2001) study. In the same study, all five stations in the
Philippines showed an insignificant decrease in extreme
frequency of rainfall events with stations at Baguio and
Tuguegarao (not considered here) showing an insignificant
increase in extreme rainfall intensity, somewhat inconsistent
with the results described here. Such inconsistency could be
associated with the fact that this study used an additional
12 years of data spanning what is widely considered one of
the warmest periods in the last two hundred years (IPCC,
2013a) presenting results which are broadly consistent with
global data (e.g. HadCRUT3 and GISSTemp). Building on
earlier research, this study has allowed for the identification
of spatial variations between stations across a number of
indicators and highlighted the geographic heterogeneity of
the climate in the Philippines.
More recent national level literature using data from
the same stations as those in this study have revealed an
overall decreasing trend in seasonal rainfall associated with
the southwest monsoon (SWM) which is normally responsible for up to 43% of annual rainfall in the Philippines (Cruz