SUMMARY OF AMICI EXPERT CONTRIBUTIONS REGARDING THE SCIENCE OF
CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS, ATTRIBUTION, AND RECOVERY 130
Key Findings and Messages
Reputable international and domestic scientific bodies, as well as an extensive body of
peer-reviewed science, indicate that climate change is causing severe environmental, economic,
and social impacts at current levels of planetary warming, and that these impacts will intensify
with any additional warming. The occurrence and severity of these impacts is, to varying
degrees, attributable to planetary warming above pre-industrial levels. The activities of the
respondents to the Petition have materially contributed to a large percentage of this warming.
Rapid, large-scale emissions reductions and carbon sequestration are needed in order to meet
either the Paris Agreement’s temperature goals or more stringent science-based climate recovery
targets. In addition, adaptation to the climate change already underway and expected is essential
and requires assessing vulnerability and possible impacts, building resilience, and planning for
the consequences.
The Commission is to note that each section or sub-section of this consolidated section
reflects the position of only those amici indicated in parentheses at the end of the heading for that
section or sub-section.
Summary Argument
I.
Climate Change Impacts Globally
A.
Findings from the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (ClientEarth, Sabin
Center, Plan B)
The IPCC was established in 1988. The IPCC “assess[es] on a comprehensive, objective,
open and transparent basis the scientific, technical and socio-economic information relevant to
understanding the scientific basis of risk of human-induced climate change, its potential impacts
and options for adaptation and mitigation.” 131 Expert scientists from every nation are involved in
the drafting of IPCC reports, which are subject to significant scrutiny, debate, and contestation,
with input of scientists from around the world. 132 The IPCC’s findings as to climate change
impacts are also supported by, and largely consistent with, individual government
assessments.133
The most recent report, the Fifth Assessment Report, found that warming of the climate
system “is unequivocal,” that present atmospheric concentrations of CO 2, CH4, and NO are
130
This summary was compiled with inputs from Our Children’s Trust (Elizabeth Brown & Danny Noonan),
ClientEarth (Sophie Marjanac), the Sabin Center for Climate Change Law (Michael Burger & Jessica Wentz), Plan
B (Tim Crosland), James E. Hansen (Dan Galpern), and Kevin E. Trenberth and is based on their previously
submitted underlying amicus curiae briefs and letters as well as relevant updates.
131
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), History (2017),
https://www.ipcc.ch/organization/organization_history.shtml.
132
See INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE, IPCC FACTSHEET: HOW DOES THE IPCC APPROVE
REPORTS?, (2013), https://www.ipcc.ch/news_and_events/docs/factsheets/FS_review_process.pdf (providing details
of the review process).
133
Sabin Center brief, at p. 4-5; Plan B brief, at § 5.1 (p. 14-16).
32
Select target paragraph3
Connect to a paragraph
Connect to an entity
Disable highlights
Add to table of contents