Methodological Guidance
Concentric approach
Taking into account the challenges in collecting and verifying information to document
individual deaths in an armed conflict context and the consequent need to supplement
documented individual cases with statistical estimates, a concentric approach will be followed
to facilitate the methodology development, data collection and compilation of the indicator.
•
Counting documented direct deaths - deaths that are fully documented by existing
casualty recording organizations17 and other relevant entities on the ground. These include
United Nations missions and other international organisations active in conflict-settings that
collect data on conflict-related deaths in pursuance of their mandate. Documented cases
provide verified information on each death, drawing potentially on a range of sources
including government agencies, national statistical offices, national human rights institutions,
non-governmental organizations, media (including social media) and other civil society
sources. Given the mandate of UN entities and corresponding casualty recording practices,
data on deaths of civilians are generally more systematically collected. OHCHR, in cooperation
with all relevant stakeholders, will continue to explore the possibility for the indicator to cover
other categories.
•
Estimating undocumented direct deaths - depending on the availability and quality of
data over the course of the armed conflict, statistical surveys and techniques may be used to
estimate the magnitude of direct conflict-related deaths, adding statistical estimates of
undocumented cases to the documented cases.18 National datasets with sufficiently well
documented direct deaths constitute an essential source for further statistical analysis and
estimations of undocumented direct deaths.
•
Estimating indirect deaths - Indirect deaths would typically fall outside the scope of
common casualty recording practices (that rather focus on direct deaths). They may be
captured using additional administrative records and/or statistical surveys allowing the
measurement of excess mortality, namely all the deaths (direct and indirect) that would not
have occurred in time of peace, as defined and measured by epidemiologists.19
Existing data must be updated regularly and retrospectively reflecting the emergence of new
data over time.
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