CPI of food 0.018 *** 0.002 Decrease in min temp 0.990 *** 0.338 Increase in max temp -0.249 *** 0.064 Decrease in min temp 0.728 *** 0.078 Increase in max temp 0.028 FMR spending 0.001 *** 0.000 Irrigation spending on palay 0.021 *** 0.002 Urban 0.108 *** 0.028 Constant 7.156 *** 0.271 0.000 0.001 Temperature Dummy Temperature 0.029 4.638 *** 0.169 Table 5. IV validation tests, FIES 2009 Adjus ted model Normality Rainfall Swilk z 9.046 Sktest chi2(2) 203.8 z 0.658 Test Statistic Underidentification ChiAnder sq(10)=550. son 33 Cragg ChiDonal sq(10)=575. d 34 Weak Instrument Cragg Donal d Wald 57.4 Ander sonRubin F(10,12631) Wald =33.33 Sfranc ia Seasonality Prob> z 0 Prob> chi2 0 Prob> z 0.255 pvalue z 0.635 Test Statistic 0 Chisq(14)=551. 94 0 Chisq(14)=577. 10 z 8.734 chi2(2) 179.9 Volatility Prob> z 0 Prob> chi2 0 Prob> z 0.263 pvalue z 0.67 Test Statistic 0 Chisq(14)=500. 78 0 Chisq(14)=521. 40 41.11 0 F(14,12627) =27.39 z 9.223 chi2(2) 218.7 Temperature Prob> z 0 Prob> chi2 0 Prob> z 0.251 pvalue z 0.677 Test Statistic Prob> z 0 Prob> chi2 0 Prob> z 0.249 pvalue 0 Chisq(7)=475. 42 0 0 Chisq(7)=493. 97 0 37.14 0 F(14,12627) =26.50 z 9.341 chi2(2) 229.2 70.42 0 F(7,12634) =44.31 0 CBMS-FAO | 57

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