Based on the models, projected changes in temperature will lead to about 60% percent decrease in crop farming income. Such impact on income will definetly put farmers at risk in terms of food security. This impact, however, can be mitigated by policy interventions. Using our model, policy interventions can be in the form of increased expenditures on agricultural infrastructure such as farm to market roads and irrigation for palay (Figure 10). At the family level, increase in level of education of head of the family, ownership of radio and access to remittances can also be usedto mitigate the negative effects of changes in temperature (Figure 11). Figure 10. Increasing expenditure on farm-to-market road and irrigation of palay at current value of temperature, FIES 2009 Figure 11. Increasing ownership of asset, and access to remittance and enhancing education at current value of temperature, FIES 2009 B. CBMS 2007-2010 Climate shocks Models of food insecurity using CBMS 2007-2010 data suggest the expected general trend that higher rainfall or hotter temperatures means lower crop farming income. Furthermore, small relative changes in rainfall effect increase in crop farming and gardening although in different pace. It is notable, however, that higher increase in rainfall still means lower crop farming income. On the other hand, seasonality and volatility have varied effects such that small changes have positive effects on crop farming income. Finally, CBMS-FAO | 38