18
As a scientific consensus emerged in the early 1990s that human-caused
climate change was underway, Mobil Oil Corp scientist Leonard Bernstein
drafted a 1995 internal ‘Primer on Climate Change Science’ for the
industry’s Global Climate Coalition (GCC), which explicitly rejected
contrarian claims that were beginning to circulate: “Contrarian theories…do
not offer convincing arguments against the conventional model of
greenhouse gas emission-induced climate change” [67]. GCC members
included dozens of corporation and trade associations, such as Exxon,
Chevron, BP, Shell, the National Coal Association and the American
Petroleum Institute. Although the report argued against the IPCC’s
conclusion that year that “a discernable human influence on global climate”
had already been detected, it emphasized that “the scientific basis for the
Greenhouse Effect and the potential impact of human emissions of
greenhouse gases such as CO2 on climate is well established and cannot be
denied.”
There are clear discrepancies between this private acknowledgment and
numerous contemporary and subsequent public communications by both
GCC and its member fossil fuel companies and trade associations that
promoted doubt about the potential for human-caused greenhouse gas
emissions to impact the climate. There is a large literature compiled by
journalists and academics demonstrating this broad spectrum of
communications, from direct public statements to indirect funding or
orchestration of climate disinformation through third-party individuals and
organizations. As just one example, in 2009 The New York Times reported
the discrepancy between the GCC’s private acknowledgment and the GCC’s
public assertion, in a scientific “Backgrounder” provided to lawmakers and
journalists through the early 1990s, that “the role of greenhouse gases in
climate change is not well understood” [68,69].
Q23: Are you currently undertaking similar studies for other fossil fuel
companies?
A23: Yes, but will not discuss these until they have passed peer-review.
Q24: Is there anything else you would like to say about your research that may
be relevant to this national inquiry?
A24: I have three additional observations about our research and relevant context:
(1)
We are confident in our results.
Any analysis of words is subject to interpretation. It is for this reason
that we used established social science methods and subjected our
analysis to peer review, to verify that our claims are supported by
evidence, were analyzed according to tested methods, and are not just
a matter of subjective opinion. The statistical tests of our content
analyses are consistently high. While one might disagree about the
interpretation of specific words, the overall trends are clear even on
casual inspection.
(2) Our results do not stand in isolation, but compliment and
Select target paragraph3
Connect to a paragraph
Connect to an entity
Disable highlights
Add to table of contents