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3.2.1. Tuna in General Santos
The exposure value for General Santos is low (Table 6), which
indicates a low exposure to the impacts of climate change. Out
of the 25 local fishermen interviewed, 92% live in disaster-free
areas and 62% have disaster-free fishing grounds. These findings
are supported by the 50-year storm trajectory record of NOAA,
which shows that Mindanao, the region where the study sites are
located, has not experienced any tropical storm for more than five
decades. No incidences of landslides and flash floods in the community have been reported. However, the city was struck by two
strong typhoons, Sendong and Pablo, on December 16, 2011 and
December 3 2012, respectively. Additionally, approximately 77%
of the interviewed fishers associate the difficulty in catching tuna
with high temperatures because tuna feed deeper during warm
days. An increase in temperature will cause a stronger thermocline
that limits water mixing between cold deeper waters and warm
shallower waters, which in turn causes a decline in primary productivity (Gribbin, 1988; Papua New Guinea and Pacific Islands Country
Unit and the World Bank, 2000). In tropical regions, an increase
in surface water temperature coupled with the decrease in primary productivity may cause tuna populations to migrate toward
higher latitudes (Lehodey et al., 1997). This distribution may slowly
deplete the stocks in the tropics.
Furthermore, 85% of the respondents experienced decreasing
catch rate over the years as reflected on their sensitivity score.
According to statistics, the volume of tuna production in General
Santos decreased by 15% from 2008 to 2012 (Bureau of Agricultural
Statistics (BAS), 2012). The majority of local fishers greatly depend
on the tuna industry for their livelihood; only 8% of the respondents
have alternative livelihoods and other sources of income.
Adaptive capacity in General Santos is fairly low. Among the
respondents, 85% are unaware of the impacts of climate change
in their livelihood, 92% have no sources of climate change-related
information, and 77% have no adaptive strategies. Additionally,
approximately 55% of the entire income of the community is generated from tuna fisheries, indicating high dependence on the sector
and thus higher vulnerability. However, the current development in
agriculture (i.e., production of pineapple, durian, etc.) has increased
in General Santos, thereby relieving the pressure on the tuna industry caused by fishing activity and climate change to some extent.
3.2.2. Sardines in Zamboanga City
Although located in Mindanao, Zamboanga City has higher
exposure values than General Santos because most of the fishing
grounds are frequently impacted by localized typhoons. According to the climate projections of the Philippine Atmospheric,
Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA)
(2013) in Zamboanga City, the projected seasonal temperature,
rainfall, and frequency of extreme events has increased. The local
fishers and community are already experiencing these changes,
especially the progressing rainfall and increase in temperature.
Moreover, 88% of the interviewed fishermen reported
decreasing catch rates over the past 20 years because of the
increase in commercial fishing vessels. Although sardine production increased in 2009, it decreased by almost 36% in 2012
(Bureau of Agricultural Statistics (BAS), 2012). Another factor that
contributed to the high sensitivity of the sardine sector in the area
is the high dependency on sardine fisheries. Approximately 92% of
respondents have no other sources of income aside from fishing.
The adaptive capacity of the sardine sector of Zamboanga City
is lower than that of the tuna sector in General Santos, which
may be attributed to low awareness, as well as few sources of
climate change-related information and adaptive strategies of its
constituents to climate change. The low educational attainment
of the fishers also adds to the low adaptive capacity because fishers’ children most likely end up as fishers (Mamauag et al., 2013;
Muallil et al., 2011). Accordingly, the local government units (LGUs)
in the area coordinate with BFAR IX for livelihood support services
to provide trainings and seminars for the fisherfolk.
4. Conclusions
The results revealed that the tuna and sardine sectors in General Santos and Zamboanga City, respectively, are vulnerable to
climate change. Considering that General Santos and Zamboanga
City are the tuna and sardine capitals of the Philippines, appropriate management measures should be promoted in these areas
for sustainable food production and security. VA is only an initial part of integrating CCA into development planning, and the
key step toward climate-resilient development is the identification and implementation of adaptation options. These adaptation
options are often enhancements to already existing initiatives,
such as providing alternative livelihoods for sardine fishers during
closed seasons, integrating climate change into the fisheries policy frameworks, strengthening the capacity of the fisheries sector
for adaptation to climate change, among others. High exposure and
sensitivity to climate variability necessitate more diverse and efficient adaptation strategies. Between the sardine and tuna sectors,
LGUs should prioritize the development of adaptation strategies for
the sardine industry. Moreover, Fish Vool proved to be a useful tool
for assessing the climate change vulnerabilities of the tuna and sardine sectors in General Santos and Zamboanga City and shows great
potential for CCA mainstreaming (e.g., Santos et al., 2011; Mamauag
et al., 2013).
Considering that 50 local fishermen do not represent the whole
population of tuna and sardine fishers in the area, we recommend
a larger sampling size for exhaustive data collection. The tool may
also be used for other fisheries commodities. The study shall be
continued to refine Fish Vool for the conduct of regional and sectorbased VAs by all BFAR regional offices and centers in the country.
Acknowledgments
We thank the National Fisheries Research and Development
Institute (NFRDI) for funding the study, especially Dir. Melchor
Tayamen and Noel Barut for their support on the project. We also
thank the Genetic Fingerprinting Laboratory of NFRDI for providing
relevant inputs in developing the tool. We gratefully appreciate the
assistance given by Ming, Sam, and Mangi of BFAR XII and Mads,
Pedling, and Saj of BFAR IX in the project logistics and conduct of
interviews.
Appendix A. Supplementary data
Supplementary material related to this article can be
found, in the online version, at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/
j.fishres.2014.07.007.
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