Memorandum for the Petitioners 1114
—
sources) have been emitted since 1989.537 This date is notable
because it is after the First World Climate Conference in 1979
and the Toronto Conference on the Changing Atmosphere in
1988, which set into place the global political process on climate
change.538
8.125.3.
The 90 “Carbon Majors” included 50
investor-owned producers of oil, gas, coal, and cement, such as
Chevron, Peabody, BP, ExxonMobil, BHP Billiton, and Royal
Dutch Shell; 31 state-owned entities producers, such as Saudi
Aramco, Gazprom, Nigerian National Petroleum , and Coal India;
and 9 former or current government-run coal producing entities,
such as those in Poland, the former Soviet Union , Kazakhstan,
North Korea, and China.539
8.125.4.
The Carbon Majors publications were
thoroughly vetted and peer-reviewed .540 Mr. Heede’s analysis
is based on company-data (SEC Foim 10-Ks or Annual Reports),
and a robust and peer-reviewed methodology. There is little
room for disputing his results except for relatively minor
uncertainties and variables that mostly arise from lack of
company-reported data (e.g., historical data on their own fuel
use, flaring rates, vented CO2, methane leakage rates, etc.).541
r
—
8.125.5.
In 2018, Mr. Heede updated542 the “activity
data” (annual production of fossil fuels and cement ) to include
2015 and 2016.543 The key findings in this update are as follows:
Global emissions of carbon dioxide
from all anthropogenic industrial sources (fossil fuel
and cement) totals 1,545 billion metric tonnes CO2
(GtCO?) from 1751 to 2016;
a)
C
b)
The direct and product-related
emissions of the 90 Carbon Major entities total
ibid.
Zillman , J., A History of Climate Activities, available at https://public.wmo.int/en/bulletin/historyclimate-activities (last accessed on 12 September 2019).
539
Ibid\
540
Testimony of Mr. Richard Heede, TSN dated 27-28 August 2018, pp. 77-81, available at
http://chr.go v.ph/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/NICC-TSN-August-29-to-30-2018-Metro-Mani laPhilippines.pdf (last accessed on 12 September 2019).
541
Exhibit “QQQQ” to “QQQQ- 11 ” supra note 536, p. 4.
542
See Exhibit “TTTT-A,” Climate Accountability Institute, Press Release on Update of Carbon Majors
Project (20 IS ), pp. 1-2.
543
The update was based on data collected in company Form 10-Ks, Annual Reports, or standard industry
sources in 2015-2016 . The original Heede 2014 paper had activity data through 2010. No methodological
changes were made, with the exception that Mr. Heede and his team adopted the IPCC global wanning
potential of methane to 28 times CO2 ( 100-year time horizon) per IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (the
previous value was 21 xCOz); Also see Exhibit “QQQQ” to “QQQQ- 11,” supra note 536, p. 6.
537
538
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