Introduction
The AmBisyon Natin 2040 articulates Filipinos’
collective long-term vision and aspirations for
themselves and for the Philippines in the next 25
years. It calls on all sectors of society to direct their
efforts towards enabling a matatag (strongly rooted),
maginhawa (comfortable), and panatag (secure) life
for all Filipinos.
Government and stakeholder actions to pursue the
the targets set under the Sustainable Development
Goals (SDGs) and the President’s 0+10 Point
Socioeconomic Agenda, align well and contribute
to the achievement of AmBisyon 2040. These
development strategies are anchored on the
principles of sustainable development which
involves: 1) long term planning, where present
development should never be at the expense of
future generations; and 2) inclusivity, where no one
is left behind.
Specifically, the AmBisyon envisions that by 2040,
the “Philippines is a prosperous middle class society
where no one is poor. People live long and healthy
lives and are smart and innovative. The country is a
high-trust society where families thrive in a vibrant,
culturally diverse, and resilient communities.”6
However, our achievement of AmBisyon 2040, the
SDGs and President Duterte’s economic agenda is
under threat due to the country’s current population
age structure.
What is a demographic dividend?
Demographic dividend stems from demographic
transition when fertility (birth) and mortality
(death) rates decline, such that the age distribution
changes to an extent that lesser spending is required
to meet the needs of the youngest and oldest age
groups. This frees up the resources for investment
in economic development and family welfare.8
Demographic dividend therefore is a benefit, a
windfall that is good for the economy and society.
Economies in East Asia (South Korea, Taiwan,
and Hong Kong) began to reap this dividend as
early as the 1980s, as did Singapore and Thailand
in the 1990s, and Indonesia and Malaysia in the
early 2000s. What is noteworthy is that, apart
from reasonably good economic policies, all these
countries have modern family planning (FP)
programs beginning in the late 1960s to early 1970s
sustained over time. The Philippines, although it
started its FP program in 1969, discontinued the
program in the late 1970s due to strong opposition
from conservative groups. Figure 1 shows how the
Philippines’ population pyramid by age compares
with those of Thailand and South Korea.
8 Ross, John. 2004. Understanding the Demographic Dividend: POLICY
Project, Futures Group. Retrieved from http://www. policyproject.com/
pubs/generalreport/Demo_Div.pdf
Figure 1: Population Pyramids: Philippines, Thailand, and
South Korea, 2015
The Philippines is only at the first phase of
demographic transition characterized by a large
proportion of the population in the under-15
years age bracket and with households having a
large dependency burden.7 The population of the
Philippines consists mostly of young children who,
6 http://2040.neda.gov.ph/about-ambisyon-natin-2040/
7 Mapa, Dennis. 2016. Demographic Sweet Spot and Dividend
in the Philippines:The Window of Opportunity is Closing
Fast. Unpublished manuscript, Quezon City: University of the
Philippines School of Statistics
Source: esa.un.org
19 2019 Annual Report Responsible Parenthood and Reproductive Health Act of 2012